Reform Opposition Is
High but Easing
More Support if Public Option Dropped
By Jon Cohen and Dan Balz
Washington Post Staff
Writers
Monday, September 14, 2009, Washington Post
President Obama continues to face significant public resistance to his drive
to initiate far-reaching changes to the country's health-care system, with
widespread skepticism about central tenets of his plan, according to a new
Washington Post-ABC News poll.
But after a summer of angry debate and protests, opposition to the effort has
eased somewhat, and there appears to be potential for further softening among
critics if Congress abandons the idea of a government-sponsored health insurance
option, a proposal that has become a flash point in the debate. The gap in
passion, which had shown greater intensity among opponents of the plan, has also
begun to close, with supporters increasingly energized and more now seeing
reform as possible without people being forced to give up their current
coverage.
Obama continued his stepped-up effort to sell his health-care plan, appearing
Sunday on CBS's "60 Minutes." He said that he wants a package that would deliver
effective change and noted that he will bear the consequences of any public
backlash against the result. "I'm the one who's going to be held responsible,"
he said. "I have every incentive to get this right."
Earlier, Sen. Olympia J. Snow (R-Maine), who has been seeking a bipartisan
compromise, urged the president to abandon the so-called public option. "It's
universally opposed by all Republicans in the Senate," she said on CBS's "Face
the Nation." "And therefore, there's no way to pass a plan that includes the
public option."
White House senior adviser David Axelrod, appearing on the same program, said
he was "not willing to accept" the idea that a government option would not be in
the final bill, but also reiterated the administration's position that the
provision should not stand in the way of passing a reform measure.
The poll began on the evening after Obama delivered a speech to a joint
session of Congress and concluded on the day tens of thousands of people
demonstrated in Washington against the president and his plan. Obama's
prime-time address last Wednesday came at the end of a summer in which both he
and the effort steadily lost ground in public opinion polls, and it marked his
most high-profile attempt to reframe the debate and prod his supporters to pass
legislation by the end of the year.
As Congress begins its second week back from August recess, the playing field
is virtually level: Americans remain almost deadlocked in their opinion of the
Democrats' health-care initiative, with 46 percent in favor of the proposed
changes and 48 percent opposed. There is also a clean split on Obama's handling
of the issue, with 48 percent approving and the same number disapproving. But
since mid-August, the percentage "strongly" behind the president on health care
has risen to 32 percent, evening out the intensity gap that has plagued him on
the subject.
The public also divides about evenly -- 51 percent in favor, 47 percent
against -- on the question of whether people should be required to have health
insurance, a central element of the plans under consideration.
But it is the public option that has become the major point of contention,
with support for the government creation of an insurance plan that would compete
with private insurers stabilizing in the survey after dipping last month. Now,
55 percent say they like the idea, but the notion continues to attract intense
objection: If that single provision were removed, opposition to the overall
package drops by six percentage points, according to the poll.
Without the public option, 50 percent back the rest of the proposed changes;
a still sizable 42 percent are opposed. Independents divide 45-45 on a package
without the government-sponsored insurance option, while they are largely
negative on the entire set of proposals (40 percent support and 52 percent
oppose). Republican opposition also fades 20 points under this scenario.
The decision to back away from the provision might hurt Obama among his base,
but not dramatically so, as 88 percent of liberal Democrats support the reform
plan as is, 81 percent without the public option.
The politics of the idea would also probably change dramatically depending on
its scope: If it were limited to only those unable to get private insurance,
support would rise to 76 percent.
The poll also carries a clear warning for both major political parties:
Forty-three percent of respondents consider themselves independents, the most
ever in a Post-ABC poll, and about a third of them say they do not trust either
side to deal with the nation's biggest problems in the years ahead.
More than seven in 10 Americans, including majorities across party lines, say
they think Obama and congressional Democrats should adjust the health-care
legislation to appeal to some Republican lawmakers. Half credit the Democrats
with making a good-faith effort to do so already, while most, 62 percent, say
the GOP is not returning the favor.
Nearly half of all Americans, 45 percent, say the reform plan would create
too much government involvement in the system, a number on par with polls taken
during President Bill Clinton's doomed efforts at big health-care changes in
1993 and 1994. Just over half of independents say the current plan would amount
to overreach, significantly more than said so in the early 1990s. About
two-thirds say they think the reform plan would increase the federal budget
deficit.
GOP insistence on placing new limits on medical malpractice lawsuits finds
significant public backing: Nearly two-thirds support caps on the amount of
money that can be collected as a result of medical errors, with support
increasing since June.
There is, however, less backing for the idea of a new tax on insurance
companies that offer high-cost, big benefit health plans; 45 percent of
Americans favor such a levy, and support plummets if it is suggested that
companies would have to raise fees for those policies as a result.
Above it all, the change in opinion on the broad question of whether
government reform is necessary to control costs and expand coverage has been
halted. Fifty-three percent now call government action essential, while 44
percent see it as doing more harm than good.
In his address to Congress, Obama made a direct appeal to the vast majority
of Americans who have health insurance to try to reassure them about how his
plan would affect them. "Nothing in our plan requires you to change what you
have," he said, to opponents' jeers.
There is some evidence in the poll that this line of argument is working.
Half of the insured now see the possibility for legislation that would allow
individuals to keep their coverage without changes, up from 37 percent in June.
But more still think changes would hurt their insurance coverage, their costs
and their overall care.
Adding to the reservations about major reform is that a sizable number, 40
percent, think it would weaken Medicare, a figure that peaks at 56 percent among
seniors.
Overall, seniors remain solidly opposed to health-care reform, and the number
who think government involvement would do more harm than good continues to rise
even as it has fallen among younger adults.
The loss of support among seniors has been a critical component of the issue.
In June, seniors trusted Obama more than they did the Republicans in Congress by
a margin of 62 to 24 percent; now, 44 percent side with the GOP, 39 percent with
Obama.
Majorities of seniors approved of Obama's job performance consistently from
his first months in office through mid-July, but his rating among seniors has
since dropped to 38 percent, with 57 percent disapproving. Over all age groups,
54 percent approve of his performance, while 43 percent disapprove, the lowest
marks of his presidency.
Among all Americans, Obama has lost ground to congressional Republicans over
the summer on handling not only health care, but also the economy and the budget
deficit. He still maintains double-digit leads on each, but the advantages are
no longer commanding.
At the same time, what was a 56 percent to 30 percent advantage for Democrats
in terms of public trust on the major issues facing the nation has slipped to 48
percent to 28 percent. Nineteen percent now consider neither party better able
to cope with big problems, the most to say so in Post-ABC News polls dating to
1982.
When it comes to blame for the tone of the debate, about half say both sides
are equally at fault; among the rest, about twice as many place primary
culpability with the GOP as they do with the Democrats.
The telephone survey was conducted Thursday through Saturday among a random
national sample of 1,007 adults. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus
three percentage points.
Polling analyst Jennifer Agiesta contributed to this report.